Lu Zhe, chief economist of soochow securities: It is predicted that the drag of real estate on the economy will be greatly weakened in 2025. At the 2025 Dongwu Strategy Meeting held on the 10th, Lu Zhe, chief economist of soochow securities, said that the leverage ratio of Chinese government departments, especially the central government, is not high, which has sufficient policy space and full confidence in China's economy next year. The driving force of economic growth will come from three aspects. First, the growth rate of consumption will pick up. The "trade-in" policy has boosted consumption this year and is expected to play a greater role next year; Second, real estate has stopped falling and stabilized. Since the introduction of the "package policy" in October, various real estate indicators have shown signs of stopping falling. It is expected that it will continue to stabilize next year, and the drag of real estate on the economy will be greatly reduced; Third, the policy of "10 trillion yuan in five years" will stimulate the vitality of local governments, open up the blocking point of fiscal policy transmission, and support China's economy to be stable and far-reaching.Guangdong: Reduce industrial coal to promote clean energy substitution in glass, aluminum and steel calendering industries in the province. The Guangdong Provincial People's Government issued an action plan for continuous improvement of air quality in Guangdong Province to reduce industrial coal. Under the premise of ensuring power and heat supply, biomass boilers (including gasifiers), coal-fired boilers that have not completed ultra-low emission transformation, and small coal-fired thermal power units (including self-owned power plants) that have not completed ultra-low emission transformation will be shut down and integrated. In principle, no new coal-fired boilers will be built in the Pearl River Delta region; It is forbidden to build new coal-fired boilers with a capacity of 35 tons/hour or less in the built-up areas of cities at or above the county level and the coverage of natural gas pipelines in eastern Guangdong, western Guangdong and northern Guangdong. By 2025, coal-fired boilers and operating stoves, grain storage drying equipment, agricultural products processing and other coal-fired facilities below 35 tons/hour in urban built-up areas at or above the county level will be basically eliminated.ST Tianshan: 458 live animals were sold in November, with a sales income of 4,282,300 yuan. ST Tianshan announced that the company sold 458 live animals in November 2024, with a sales income of 4,282,300 yuan, with a chain change of -14.23% and-44.96% respectively. The year-on-year changes were -36.03% and -57.34% respectively. The main reason for the decrease in the number of live livestock sales and sales revenue this month is that the number of slaughtered cattle this month is lower than that of last month and the same period last year.
The pace of interest rate cuts may be inconsistent. The pound rose to the highest level against the euro since 2022, and the pound rose to the highest level against the euro in more than two and a half years. British government bonds fell because the market expected that the Bank of England would cut interest rates less than Europe. On Tuesday, the pound rose 0.3% against the euro to 82.50p, the first time since April 2022. British government bonds fell across the board, and the 10-year yield rose to 4.33%, the highest since November 28. Traders expect the Bank of England to stay put at its last policy meeting this year next week and maintain a cautious stance on subsequent interest rate cuts. The country's growth remains strong, while inflation in some areas remains high. At the same time, it is widely believed that the European Central Bank will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday to support the economy. "The 0.8200 mark is imminent," said Brad Bechtel, global foreign exchange director of Jefferies. "It is clear that the Bank of England will still lag far behind the European Central Bank in the pace and extent of interest rate cuts.Orient securities gave Yuekang Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. an initial buy rating.Orient securities gave Yuekang Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. an initial buy rating.
Citigroup's chief financial officer said that investment banking fees may increase by 25% to 30% year-on-year. Income guidance is maintained at the high end of the range of $80 billion to $81 billion.*ST Reclamation: the project won the bid of 214 million yuan. *ST Reclamation Announcement, the company has been determined as the bid winner of "General Contract of the Second Passage of Yuyao North Pai-Jiangsimen Pumping Station Project of Taojia Road", and the bid amount of the project is 214 million yuan. The winning bid accounted for 6.85% of the company's audited net assets in 2023 and 10.01% of the company's total audited operating income in 2023. If the contract is finally signed, it will have a positive impact on the company's operating income and net profit in the future.A fire-related department near a university in southern California issued a mandatory evacuation order. On December 10, local time, the reporter of the General Desk was informed that a large bush fire broke out near the center of Malibu in southern California in the early morning of the 10 th, which now threatens buildings including the landmark Malibu pier in the city. Relevant departments issued a mandatory evacuation order. The nearby Pepperdine University cancelled classes on the 10th, and students took refuge in the campus. The California Fire Department said that the fire has grown to more than 1,600 acres (about 6.5 square kilometers), and the area has almost tripled in one hour. The local fire department did not know whether the bush fire was caused by human factors. (CCTV News)
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13